The Prediction-Market Industry, Mapped.
Every operating venue, the mechanisms they run, and the research behind them. Indexed, cross-linked, and audited.
A public good by , who build Dekant, continuous prediction markets on Solana.
CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 · Conflict-of-interest disclosure · we rate every venue evenhandedly, including our own.
Twelve mechanisms. How each one actually works.
The PM industry has fractured into twelve distinct mechanism categories · each with its own pricing math, regulatory lane, and audience. Click any tile for the full wiki entry: what it is, how it works, where it applies, who ships it, what the canonical papers say.
The field, by size
Where the industry hasn't built yet.
The matrix view. Mechanisms crossed against chains, audiences, and regions · gaps highlighted. The cells where nobody is building are often where the next interesting thing happens.
Mechanism × chain
fewermore venuesAudience × tier
fewermoreRegional coverage
platforms tagged by regionOpen for builders
Markets no one touched yet90 ideas the industry argues about.
Every concept that recurs in the canonical literature · from Brier scores and LMSR to parlays, federal preemption, and distribution markets. Each card opens a full wiki entry with definition, mechanics, key insights, quotes, sources, and the projects implementing it.
The full 108-platform universe.
Every operating venue in the industry, audited and grouped by mechanism. Filter, sort, or open any row for the full profile · founders, funding, traction, strengths, weaknesses.
Put any two side by side.
Compare two platforms or two mechanisms, field by field. Differences are highlighted.
The Prediction Market Landscape.
Mechanisms, Theses, Builders · A 2026 Reference. A bound monograph synthesizing the catalogue and concept work into a single citation-forward document.
