Platform · Multiverse Markets
if.market
Conditional asset markets · trade what world events do to assets, before they resolve
- Mechanism
- Multiverse Markets
- Chain
- Undisclosed
- Status
- Pre-launch
- Founded
- 2025
- Market types
- Conditional asset markets (consequence markets)
- Audience
- Power user · Quant · Crypto-native · Forecasters · Institutional
- Website
- www.if.market/
- @ifmarkets
Pricing mechanism
Users pick an event, choose an asset, and trade how the asset price will change conditional on the event happening. Trades the impact of an event on an asset, not the probability of the event itself.
Settlement
Conditional resolution against event outcomes (planned).
Strengths
- Genuinely novel primitive in the same lane as Lightcone and Proof: trade asset price conditional on event outcomes
- Self-positions as consequence markets with sharp marketing copy
- Multiverse category was 2 venues; if.market joining makes it 3, signaling the lane is now competitive
Weaknesses
- Pre-launch; mechanism specifics, chain selection, and team identity not yet public
- Conditional markets face severe liquidity fragmentation (every event forks every asset)
- Direct competitor to Lightcone and Proof in a small, still-proving primitive
About this mechanism
Trade asset prices conditional on event outcomes across orthogonal universes. Asset (e.g. BTC) splits into N conditional versions · winning-universe tokens redeem 1:1.