Platform · Continuous / Distribution Markets
Trepa
Solana precision-forecasting platform: slider-set numerical guesses with convex proximity-based payoffs
- Mechanism
- Continuous / Distribution Markets
- Chain
- Solana
- Status
- Live (mainnet since December 2025)
- Founded
- 2024
- Market types
- Scalar · Continuous distribution
- Audience
- Retail · Power user · Quant · Crypto-native · Forecasters · AI/researchers · Builder/infra
- Website
- trepa.io
- @trepa_io
Pricing mechanism
Parimutuel / proportional
Settlement
Pyth (crypto) + macro indicator feeds
Strengths
- Closest live mechanism-analog to Dekant on Solana
- Convex payoff curve rewards expertise
- Colosseum-backed
- Simple slider UX easier than drawing distributions
Weaknesses
- Single point estimate · no σ / no distribution width
- Parimutuel pot dynamics not a true market price
- Mainnet timing unclear
- Small initial raise (~$420K)
About this mechanism
Trader expresses a full probability distribution (or precise point) over a numerical outcome; payoff is proximity-based. Genuine outcome-shape pricing rather than picking a side.