Platform · Scalar Markets
Futuur
Long-running hybrid play-money / real-money prediction market using LS-LMSR, licensed in Curaçao, with crypto settlement on Arbitrum.
- Mechanism
- Scalar Markets
- Chain
- Arbitrum
- Status
- Live
- Founded
- 2017
- Market types
- Binary · Multi-outcome · Scalar
- Audience
- Forecasters · Retail · Crypto-native · Generalist · Quant · AI/researchers · Power user
- Website
- futuur.com/
- @futuurHQ
Pricing mechanism
LS-LMSR
Settlement
Centralized operator
Strengths
- LS-LMSR handles long-tail markets well
- Curaçao license enables global real-money
- Play+real-money dual mode is onboarding wedge
- Operating since 2017
- Multi-collateral
Weaknesses
- Little public traction data
- Centralized resolution = trust assumption
- No token / no onchain flywheel
- Brand awareness below leaders
- Arbitrum migration thinly documented
About this mechanism
Single position on a scalar variable, paid linearly through discrete LMSR / LS-LMSR / bucketed parimutuel. Past binary but discrete in implementation.