Platform · Scalar Markets
Unhedged
Private prediction markets on Canton · short-term sports/crypto/politics binaries plus 'Closest to the Mark' scalar markets with Chainlink-verified settlement and top-10 parimutuel payouts
- Mechanism
- Scalar Markets
- Chain
- Canton Network + Solana
- Status
- Live (multichain on Canton + Solana)
- Founded
- 2025 (X @UnhedgedHQ created Dec 29, 2025)
- Market types
- Binary · Multi-outcome · Scalar (Closest to the Mark)
- Audience
- Retail · Sports · Politics · Crypto-native
- Website
- unhedged.gg
- @UnhedgedHQ
Pricing mechanism
Binary markets use CPMM-style pools; 'Closest to the Mark' is a parimutuel scalar contest where users submit a single numerical prediction, see a crowd heatmap after a blind phase, optionally re-enter at higher fee, then the closest 10 to the Chainlink oracle settlement split the pool (30/18/12/...).
Settlement
Chainlink oracle for crypto-price markets; centralized operator for sports/event markets
Strengths
- Closest-to-the-Mark scalar product is one of the few production deployments of a non-binary PM mechanism · parimutuel top-10 with Chainlink settlement is a real innovation in this competitive set
- Strong active product cadence · Achievements (April 2026), monthly competitions, market-creator role, flash/daily/weekly rounds
- Real engagement signals: 13.6K X followers, 22M+ CC wagered, 167+ live markets, live bet feed shows continuous activity
- Privacy by default via Canton Network · meaningful differentiation vs Polymarket's public order books
- Two-sided economy (Traders + Market Creators with creator-set fees) is a structural advantage Polymarket lacks
Weaknesses
- CC (Community Credit) token economy · real-money convertibility/withdrawal mechanics not transparent; could limit who shows up
- Canton Network ecosystem is much smaller than Solana/Polygon/Base · distribution & liquidity ceiling
- Anonymous team
- Centralized resolution for non-crypto markets (only Chainlink covers price-feed scalars)
About this mechanism
Single position on a scalar variable, paid linearly through discrete LMSR / LS-LMSR / bucketed parimutuel. Past binary but discrete in implementation.