Platform · Binary Markets
Upshot (Upshot Cards)
The world's first high-stakes prediction card platform · trading-card UX over binary predictions with instant-win prizes
- Mechanism
- Binary Markets
- Chain
- Base (L2 on Ethereum)
- Status
- Live (open beta on Base; mainnet/real-cash launch targeted Feb 2026; gaming pack drop May 18, 2026)
- Founded
- 2025
- Market types
- Binary
- Audience
- Retail · Crypto-native · Generalist
- Website
- upshot.cards
- @upshot_cards
Pricing mechanism
Fixed-payout cards (pack-opening model · each card has predetermined prize and resolution date)
Settlement
Centralized operator (Upshot resolves card outcomes)
Strengths
- Differentiated UX · only PM dressed as collectible-card game; lowers binary-PM intimidation for non-crypto users
- Base Batches 002 alumnus · Coinbase ecosystem visibility + likely airdrop tailwind
- Active product velocity (regular themed pack drops, instant-win prizes)
- Clean consumer aesthetic vs. spreadsheet-feel of Polymarket
Weaknesses
- Centralized resolution · Upshot picks card outcomes; no decentralized oracle
- Mechanism is fixed-payout binary, dressed up · no true continuous outcome, no AMM liquidity
- Mainnet/real-cash redemption still ramping (USDT-only in beta)
- Anonymous team
About this mechanism
Yes/No or multi-outcome shares priced via AMM or CLOB. The largest category by platform count · the volume of onchain competition for what most people picture when they hear 'prediction market'.