Platform · Scalar Markets
Zeitgeist
Polkadot-native prediction-market parachain with LMSR-based combinatorial markets and futarchy primitives · technically ambitious, increasingly dormant by 2026.
- Mechanism
- Scalar Markets
- Chain
- Polkadot
- Status
- Dormant
- Founded
- 2021
- Market types
- Binary · Multi-outcome · Scalar · Conditional
- Audience
- Crypto-native · Builder/infra · Forecasters · Quant · AI/researchers
- Website
- zeitgeist.pm
- @ZeitgeistPM
Pricing mechanism
Dynamic LMSR (DLMSR)
Settlement
Community / DAO (authorized reporter + ZTG-stake disputes + governance escalation)
Strengths
- Most sophisticated multi-outcome math (LMSR + LS-LMSR + combinatorial)
- Native scalar markets (Polymarket/Kalshi lack these)
- Substrate pallet for parachain integrations
- Futarchy primitive
- Open-source
Weaknesses
- Polkadot ecosystem small and declining
- ZTG trading thin
- Low volume means LMSR pools untested
- No consumer brand
- Team quiet
- Futarchy DAO adoption never materialized
About this mechanism
Single position on a scalar variable, paid linearly through discrete LMSR / LS-LMSR / bucketed parimutuel. Past binary but discrete in implementation.